World Grain - November 2019 - 38

FEATURE: GLOBAL GRAIN TRADE REVIEW

2018-19* GLOBAL GRAIN SUPPLY-DEMAND SUMMARY
(in million tonnes and hectares)
WHEAT
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ..281.8 (+7.5%)
Production............. 730.8 (-4.1%)
Total Supply ........ 1182.8 (-1.7%)
Total Traded........... 172.6 (-5.1%)

Demand 2018-19
FSI use** ...........593.5 (-0.5%)
Feed use .............139.4 (-4.7%)
Total...................732.2 (-1.0%)

2018-19
Ending stocks....... 277.2 (-1.6%)
Area harvested..... 215.2 (-1.3%)

MAIZE
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ... 339.5 (-3.3%)
Production...........1122.1 (+4.0%
Total Supply .......1625.8 (+2.9%)
Total Traded........176.1 (+18.5%)

Demand 2018-19
FSI use** ......... 422.6 (+1.0%)
Feed use ........... 697.3 (+3.6%)
Total............... 1119.9 (+2.6%)

2018-19
Ending stocks....... 329.5 (-2.9%)
Area harvested..... 191.2 (-0.3%)

SOYBEANS
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ....98.7 (+3.3%)
Production............362.0 (+5.9%)
Total Supply .........607.4 (+2.9%)
Total Traded........... 148.5 (-2.9%)

Demand 2018-19
Crush ............... 299.6 (+1.4%)
Other.................. 45.5 (+6.5%)
Total................. 345.1 (+2.1%)

2018-19
Ending stocks....112.4 (+13.7%)
Area harvested....124.9 (+0.2%)

RICE
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ..162.2 (+5.8%)
Production............498.9 (+0.8%)
Total Supply .........705.6 (+2.0%)
Total Traded............. 45.1 (-4.2%)

Demand 2018-19
All uses ............ 488.7 (+1.4%)

2018-19
Ending stocks......171.7 (+3.3%)
Area harvested....163.4 (+5.8%)

SORGHUM
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ....... 4.5 (-9.8%)
Production..............57.6 (+2.7%)
Total Supply ............ 67.3 (-4.3%)
Total Traded............. 3.4 (-45.0%)

Demand 2018-19
FSI use** ........... 38.0 (+6.2%)
Feed use ...............21.0 (-7.7%)
Total................... 59.0 (+0.8%)

2018-19
Ending stocks..........4.8 (+6.7%)
Area harvested....... 39.8 (-1.0%)

BARLEY
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ... 19.3 (-13.8%)
Production............. 139.5 (-2.4%)
Total Supply .......... 183.6 (-5.3%)
Total Traded........... 24.9 (-10.5%)

Demand 2018-19
FSI use** ........... 45.3 (+1.0%)
Feed use ...............95.3 (-6.3%)
Total...................147.4 (-4.0%)

2018-19
Ending stocks......... 17.9 (-6.9%)
Area harvested......48.2 (+1.9%)

RAPESEED
Supply 2018-19
Beginning stocks ....7.5 (+51.2%)
Production............... 71.9 (-3.9%)
Total Supply ............ 93.9 (-1.4%)
Total Traded............. 14.6 (-9.6%)

Demand 2018-19
Crush ...................67.4 (-1.4%)
Other.................. 3.8 (+22.1%)
Total.....................71.2 (-0.4%)

* All totals estimated
** FSI = Food, Seed and Industrial
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agriculutural Service, Washington, D.C.
( ) percentage change from 2017-18

38

2018-19
Ending stocks..........8.0 (+5.9%)
Area harvested36.5 (Unchanged)

RICE
Production of rice in 2019-20 is
forecast at 500 million tonnes, little
changed from the previous year's record level.
"Although outturns in the world's
biggest producers, China and India,
could fall short of the previous season, incremental increases in other
Asian producers may compensate,"
the IGC said. "Elsewhere, prospects
for larger crops in Africa contrast
with outlooks for disappointing harvests in the Americas."
The IGC is expecting lower production in the major exporters as a
group "as prospects for main crops
in both India and Thailand were
hampered by less than ideal weather
conditions." Monsoon precipitation
in India has recovered from a slow
start, but the IGC said there are still
GH¿FLHQFLHV LQ VRPH ULFH JURZLQJ
areas. India's 2019-20 crop is forecast at 115.5 million tonnes, down
from 116.4 million tonnes the previous year.
In Thailand, drought conditions have cut the expected crop.
Thailand's production is seen at 19.7
million tonnes, down from 20.2 million tonnes. The U.S. crop is seen
down on reduced area, falling to 5.9
million tonnes, from the previous
year's 7.1 million tonnes.
OILSEEDS
The IGC is expecting world soybean
production to fall by 6% to 342 milOLRQ WRQQHV LQ  UHÀHFWLQJ
expectations for a heavy fall in U.S.
output.
The 2019-20 crop forecast for
the United States is down by 20%
on the year at 98.9 million tonnes,
with the smallest harvest area in
eight seasons.
³6LQFH ¿HOGZRUN KDV RQO\ MXVW
commenced in South America,
and with acreage prospects in
Argentina highly uncertain, the
outlook is tentative," the IGC said.
"Nevertheless, assuming acreage
gains underpin a record crop in
November 2019 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com


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World Grain - November 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - November 2019

World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 1
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