World Grain - November 2019 - 68

FEATURE: GLOBAL WEATHER GOES STAGNANT

European drought status on Oct. 18

China drought status on Oct. 18

Watch: rainfall deficit
Warning: soil moisture
deficit
Alert: vegetation stress
following rainfall/soil
moisture deficit
Partial recovery of
vegetation
Full recovery of vegetation to normal conditions

Drought Intensity
None
Slight
Significant
Serious
Extreme

with it being so dry today and the Australian Bureau of
Meteorology touting dryness through December.

ment in some areas. There was enough timely precipitation
during the planting season that fair stands have evolved,
but crop establishment could have been better. Poor emerCHINA ALSO DRY
gence and establishment in some winter crop areas may
Australia is not the only place in the world with dryness lead to a higher risk of winterkill if extreme winter condiissues. Eastern China remains drier biased as it has tions evolve without adequate snow protection.
been since mid-September. Drought is quite extreme
Western Argentina has been dry since its planting seain the lower Yangtze River Basin where it is rare for VRQ¿QLVKHGLQ-XO\6RPHRIWKHZKHDWFURSKDVQRWGHYHOserious droughts to occur. The impact in China has not oped very well and there is potential for some decline in
been all that great, but the late double-cropped rice and yield. The most important production region in Argentina
sugarcane have been impacted. The bulk of summer is Buenos Aires, and that province has experienced a more
grain and oilseed crops were maturing when dryness favorable weather pattern this spring, which will help to
struck, and that should have minimized any negative reduce some of the production losses if rainfall stays lackimpact. There is some concern over planting of wheat ing in other areas for a few more weeks.
and rapeseed production areas, although a fair amount
Argentina's outlook for November is not much better than
of that crop is irrigated.
that of October, although some rain is expected to evolve in
China's dry pattern is expected to last at least into a timely enough manner to support a little improvement.
early November, but there is some potential for relief Yields are still expected to be a little light in minor produclater in the month when the tropical cyclone season tion areas to pull production down at least a little.
ends and weather conditions in the East China Sea reSouth Africa dryness is not unusual during the heart of
turn to something closer to normal.
winter (Southern Hemisphere) and early spring, but dryDryness from the Balkan Countries through Ukraine ness has prevailed a little too long. Its winter wheat and
and Russia's Southern Region to Kazakhstan devel- FDQRODZHUHR൵WRRQHWKHLUEHVWVWDUWVLQ\HDUVEXWGU\QHVV
oped during the summer and has prevailed since then. now is threatening production. Rain needs to fall during reThere were a few weeks of scattered showers during production and time is quickly running out.
ODWH $XJXVW DQG HDUO\ 6HSWHPEHU WKDW R൵HUHG VRPH
South Africa weather will improve in November, too,
temporary relief from the driest conditions. Soil mois- but it may be a little late for the best yields of winter
ture improvements occurred for a little while in por- crops and summer crop planting will have to occur agtions of Russia's Southern Region and eastern Ukraine. JUHVVLYHO\DVVRRQDVVLJQL¿FDQWUDLQIDOOVWRJHWFURSV
Romania experienced a little relief for a brief period planted during the optimal yielding season.
RIWLPH+RZHYHUPRLVWXUHGH¿FLWVDUHVWLOOSUHVHQWLQ
most of these areas as of late October.
INDIA TOO WET
World Weather, Inc. believes, however, some change India's weather also has been unchanging, but instead of
will occur in November, although it will come too late to it being too dry it has been too wet. The monsoon refuses
improve winter wheat, barley, rye and rapeseed establish- to abate. The southern half of India continues to receive
68

November 2019 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com


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World Grain - November 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - November 2019

World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 1
World Grain - November 2019 - 2
World Grain - November 2019 - 3
World Grain - November 2019 - 4
World Grain - November 2019 - 5
World Grain - November 2019 - 6
World Grain - November 2019 - 7
World Grain - November 2019 - 8
World Grain - November 2019 - 9
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