World Grain - May 2020 - 50

WEATHER

ADDING TO PRESSURE ON PRICES
Areas where dryness was an issue are getting relief

I

t seems rather early in the Northern Hemisphere
growing season to already have a region of the world
dominating the global commodity trade, but that has
been the case over the past few weeks. Wheat has been
one of the more popular trading contracts in Chicago
because of concern over dryness that dominated April
from one end of Europe to the other with some extension of the dryness into Kazakhstan. Corn also has
grabbed a few headlines, but weather only has been a
key factor to Safrinha corn in Brazil, where dryness has
reached a peak just ahead of reproduction.
The European continent has had problems with the
2020 wheat crop going back to last autumn when the
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Europe were drier biased during the planting season,
and that led to some delayed planting and poor emergence conditions. France was one of the leading areas
facing dryness but managed to see timely rainfall at
the end of the planting season to give the crop a better environment for planting and establishment. That
was not the case for the Balkan Countries of southeastern Europe or Ukraine, where dryness was an ongoing battle during the summer of 2019 and the autumn
turned out to not be any better. Dryness in the Balkan
Countries never was adequately relieved before winter
crops turned dormant, leaving them poorly established
when freezing temperatures started to occur routinely.
Ukraine weather was not much better, and Russia's
southern region and western Kazakhstan were in worse
VKDSHZKHQWKHLUFURSVWXUQHGGRUPDQW0RVWRIWKHVH
areas experienced some increase in winter precipitation that had soil moisture rated more favorably when
JUHHQLQJ FDPH DORQJ LQ$SULO 0LOG WR FRRO WHPSHUD

50

tures during the month conserved soil moisture through
low evaporation rates, but precipitation was quite limited. A few brief periods of warmer temperatures occurred to induce faster drying rates, which resulted in
¿UPHUWRSVRLODQGJUHDWHUZRUU\RYHUFURSGHYHO
RSPHQW0HWHRURORJLVWVZHUHQRWKHOSLQJWKLQJVPXFK
by predicting below-average precipitation during the
spring, and it was not long before the market was full
of concern about production potentials.
7KH FRQFHUQ ZDV QRW MXVW FRQ¿QHG WR WKH %ODFN
Sea region but extended all the way back to northern
France. A huge part of northern and eastern Europe reported well-below-average precipitation during April
ZLWK VRPH RI WKH GU\QHVV EHJLQQLQJ LQ 0DUFK 7KDW
dryness coupled with worry over Black Sea crop development potential made wheat futures trade one of the
few bright spots in the commodity market as the nation
swirled in the COVID-19 pandemic storm.
Computer forecast models were promising an opportunity for improved rainfall across most of Europe and
the western Commonwealth of Independent States in
WKHODVWGD\VRI$SULODQG¿UVWZHHNWRGD\VLQ0D\
The advertised change promised to bring relief to the
dryness scenario in both Europe and the western CIS,
squelching the market excitement over possible shortages of grain - at least for a while. World Weather,
Inc. is not convinced that the relief coming will be suf¿FLHQWWRFDUU\FURSVIRUYHU\ORQJ$VVRRQDVVHDVRQDO
warming kicks in, there could be some quick drying
once again.
The area most favored for dryness this summer is going to be northeastern Europe, including areas from the
Baltic Plain through northwestern Russia. There may
May 2020 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com

©dvoinik - stock.adobe.com

by Drew Lerner


http://www.World-Grain.com

World Grain - May 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - May 2020

World Grain - May 2020 - 1
World Grain - May 2020 - 2
World Grain - May 2020 - 3
World Grain - May 2020 - 4
World Grain - May 2020 - 5
World Grain - May 2020 - 6
World Grain - May 2020 - 7
World Grain - May 2020 - 8
World Grain - May 2020 - 9
World Grain - May 2020 - 10
World Grain - May 2020 - 11
World Grain - May 2020 - 12
World Grain - May 2020 - 13
World Grain - May 2020 - 14
World Grain - May 2020 - 15
World Grain - May 2020 - 16
World Grain - May 2020 - 17
World Grain - May 2020 - 18
World Grain - May 2020 - 19
World Grain - May 2020 - 20
World Grain - May 2020 - 21
World Grain - May 2020 - 22
World Grain - May 2020 - 23
World Grain - May 2020 - 24
World Grain - May 2020 - 25
World Grain - May 2020 - 26
World Grain - May 2020 - 27
World Grain - May 2020 - 28
World Grain - May 2020 - 29
World Grain - May 2020 - 30
World Grain - May 2020 - 31
World Grain - May 2020 - 32
World Grain - May 2020 - 33
World Grain - May 2020 - 34
World Grain - May 2020 - 35
World Grain - May 2020 - 36
World Grain - May 2020 - 37
World Grain - May 2020 - 38
World Grain - May 2020 - 39
World Grain - May 2020 - 40
World Grain - May 2020 - 41
World Grain - May 2020 - 42
World Grain - May 2020 - 43
World Grain - May 2020 - 44
World Grain - May 2020 - 45
World Grain - May 2020 - 46
World Grain - May 2020 - 47
World Grain - May 2020 - 48
World Grain - May 2020 - 49
World Grain - May 2020 - 50
World Grain - May 2020 - 51
World Grain - May 2020 - 52
World Grain - May 2020 - 53
World Grain - May 2020 - 54
World Grain - May 2020 - 55
World Grain - May 2020 - 56
World Grain - May 2020 - 57
World Grain - May 2020 - 58
World Grain - May 2020 - 59
World Grain - May 2020 - 60
World Grain - May 2020 - 61
World Grain - May 2020 - 62
World Grain - May 2020 - 63
World Grain - May 2020 - 64
World Grain - May 2020 - 65
World Grain - May 2020 - 66
World Grain - May 2020 - 67
World Grain - May 2020 - 68
World Grain - May 2020 - 69
World Grain - May 2020 - 70
World Grain - May 2020 - 71
World Grain - May 2020 - 72
World Grain - May 2020 - 73
World Grain - May 2020 - 74
World Grain - May 2020 - 75
World Grain - May 2020 - 76
World Grain - May 2020 - 77
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_04_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_12_01
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http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/20111_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_01_01
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