World Grain - December 2020 - 6

FROM THE EDITOR

Meat, feed industries
face long, difficult road

T

he meat consumption arrow in recent
years had been consistently pointing
upward as a growing global middle
class was choosing to spend a portion of
its increased income on " luxury " food
LWHPVVXFKDVEHHIFKLFNHQSRUNDQG¿VK
Just when it seemed like nothing could
derail this surge in meat-based protein demand, along came COVID-19 and with it
a much bleaker outlook for the worldwide
meat industry and, consequently, the aniPDOIHHGVHFWRU
While the grain-based foods industry
has seen an uptick in demand for its products during the now 11-month-old pandemic, global meat consumption is headLQJLQWKHRSSRVLWHGLUHFWLRQ
In the United States, for instance, meat
consumption is projected to drop for the
¿UVW WLPH VLQFH  7KH 8QLWHG 1Dtions' Food and Agriculture Organization
(FAO) estimates global meat production
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animal diseases, COVID-19-related marNHW GLVUXSWLRQV DQG WKH OLQJHULQJ H൵HFWV
RIGURXJKWV
Don Close, a veteran animal protein
analyst for Rabobank, recently described
the consequences facing the meat and
feed industries from the worst global panGHPLFLQ\HDUVGXULQJDSUHVHQWDWLRQ
sponsored by the American Feed IndusWU\$VVRFLDWLRQ
" I venture to say this has been the most
dynamic year and we have seen more
ground-breaking changes in global meat
WUDGHWKDQ,UHFDOOLQP\FDUHHU´KHVDLG
" I think the fallout from this one is going
WRODVWDORQJWLPH´
While no one knows how long, it's
safe to say a full recovery to " normal "
ZLOOOLNHO\WDNH\HDUVUDWKHUWKDQPRQWKV
Close said analysts at various banks believe it will take eight full quarters (two
years) for the restaurant business in the
United States to be restored to its pre-CO9,' OHYHOV $V RI 6HSWHPEHU DERXW
6

EDITORIAL STAFF

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closed due to the pandemic, according to
WKH1DWLRQDO5HVWDXUDQW$VVRFLDWLRQDQG
the Independent Restaurant Association
HVWLPDWHVWKDWXSWRRILQGHSHQGHQW
UHVWDXUDQWV ZKLFK FRPSULVH  RI DOO
US restaurants, could close by the end of
 LI &RQJUHVV IDLOV WR SDVV D VHFRQG
HFRQRPLFVWLPXOXVSDFNDJH
Even if the restaurant business hadn't
been negatively impacted, the unparalleled spike in unemployment and lost
wages worldwide has meant a loss in
spending power for more expensive food
LWHPVVXFKDVVWHDNDQG¿VK
Alltech's annual feed survey, which
estimates global feed output and breaks
it down by country and region, will be
released in late January and it will be interesting to see how the pandemic - not
to mention African swine fever, which
has ravaged hog populations in several
dozen countries - has impacted worldZLGHRXWSXW/DVW\HDU¶VVXUYH\UHYHDOHG
WKH¿UVWGHFOLQHLQJOREDOIHHGSURGXFWLRQ
LQQLQH\HDUVDQGDELJJHUVOLGH
LQRXWSXWLQLVDOPRVWFHUWDLQ$KLQW
of what the Alltech numbers may reveal
was provided by the European Compound
Feed Manufacturers Federation in early
1RYHPEHUZKHQLWHVWLPDWHG(8IHHGSURGXFWLRQKDGIDOOHQE\LQ
7KDQNIXOO\LWDSSHDUVDWOHDVWWZRYDFcines will soon be available, hopefully
bringing an end to this
devestating pandemic
that has infected more
than 56 million people
DQG NLOOHG QHDUO\ 
PLOOLRQ
ZRUOGZLGH
Even so, it appears the
road back to " normal " for the animal protein and feed industries will be neither
VKRUWQRUVPRRWK
Arvin Donley
Editor

Editor
Arvin Donley
Managing Editor
Eric Schroeder
Associate Editor
Susan Reidy
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European Correspondent
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China Consultant
Fengcheng Wang
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WORLD GRAIN (ISSN 0745-8991) Volume 38, issue 12,

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December 2020 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com


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World Grain - December 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - December 2020

World Grain - December 2020 - 1
World Grain - December 2020 - 1
World Grain - December 2020 - 2
World Grain - December 2020 - 3
World Grain - December 2020 - 4
World Grain - December 2020 - 5
World Grain - December 2020 - 6
World Grain - December 2020 - 7
World Grain - December 2020 - 8
World Grain - December 2020 - 9
World Grain - December 2020 - 10
World Grain - December 2020 - 11
World Grain - December 2020 - 12
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World Grain - December 2020 - 75
World Grain - December 2020 - 76
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