World Grain - January 2025 - 12
GRAINMARKET REVIEW
WHEAT
Market closes 2024 with limited activity
by Chris Lyddon
The world wheat market kept geopolitics in mind as 2024
came to a close, with developments in Ukraine, Russia and the
Middle East getting traders' attention. But with well supplied
end users sitting on their hands, activity was limited.
In its last Arable Market Report of 2024, issued on Dec. 16,
the United Kingdom's Agriculture and Horticulture Development
Board (AHDB) said world grain markets were mixed the
previous week, " generally trading sideways. "
" For the May-2025 contract, Chicago wheat futures fell
0.6% across the week, " the AHDB said. " However, UK feed
wheat and Paris milling wheat futures gained 0.9% and 0.7%,
respectively. Conversely to wheat, Chicago maize futures
(May-2025) rose 0.9% on the week. "
The USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
(WASDE) report for December was more bullish for
maize than wheat, the AHDB noted. It also cited a SovEcon
forecast that " Russian wheat exports for December could
range from 3.3 million to 3.5 million tonnes, down from 4.1
million in November, although in line with the five-year average. "
The
British analysts further said that Argentina's Rosario
Grain Exchange upped its 2024 wheat harvest estimate by
500,000 tonnes to 19.3 million, " due to improved wheat conditions
as the harvest is reported 58% complete. "
" In review of the last 15 years, this would make the 2024
harvest the third largest, behind 2021 and 2019, " they noted.
The AHDB also mentioned the Grain Industry Association
of Western Australia, which had raised its number for Western
Australia's wheat production by 500,000 tonnes, to 10.8
million, " due to better-than-anticipated yields, " while " eastern
areas of Australia recorded significant rainfall last week,
which delayed harvest progress. However, drier conditions
have been forecasted. "
US Wheat Associates (USW), in its Weekly Price Report of
Dec. 13, also reported mixed futures markets.
" A strong dollar pressured futures despite a temporary boost
from lower US ending stocks, " USW noted. " Basis levels
were mixed across export regions and classes, though markets
have begun to enter a holiday lull.
" Some interest was noted for March shipments, but most
mills are covered through February, and farmers continue to
hold wheat stocks. Basis in the Gulf was flat. Meanwhile,
PNW HRS basis remained firm, while HRW basis and SW
12
International wheat prices
(US dollars per tonne)
450
400
350
300
250
200
Nov 22 Feb 23 May 23 Aug 23 Nov 23 Feb 24 May 24 Aug 24 Nov 24
* United States of America (Gulf), wheat (US No. 2 hard red
winter) * Europen Union (France), wheat (grade 1, Rouen)
* Argentine, wheat (12%, up river)
prices decreased to maintain competitiveness. "
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization said
in its Food Price Index report on Dec. 6 that " global wheat
prices declined month on month due to increased supplies
from the ongoing harvests in the Southern Hemisphere and
improved crop conditions for the 2025 harvests in some major
Northern Hemisphere exporting countries. "
" Weaker international demand also contributed to the softer
price tone, " the FAO said.
In its Dec. 10 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
report, the USDA said " the global wheat outlook for
2024-25 is for lower supplies, consumption and trade and
slightly higher ending stocks. "
" Supplies decline 600,000 tonnes to 1.060 billion, as larger
beginning stocks are more than offset by lower global production, "
the USDA said. " Production is forecast lower for the
European Union, down 1.3 million tonnes, to 121.3 million,
on harvest data showing lower production for several Member
States. "
The USDA also forecast a smaller Brazilian crop based on
updated harvest information. It put world wheat trade down
1 million tonnes, to 213.7 million, " as reductions for EU and
Russia exports more than offset higher US and Ukraine exports. "
Exports
are forecast down 1 million tonnes, to 47 million, for
Russia, despite a strong start to the marketing year, the USDA
said, " as the imposition of an export quota is expected to constrain
exports for the remainder of the marketing year. "
Chris Lyddon is World Grain's European correspondent.
He may be contacted at: cajlyddon@gmail.com
We want to hear from you - Send comments and inquiries to
worldgrain@sosland.com. For reprints of WG articles, email reprints@sosland.com.
January 2025 / World Grain / World-Grain.com
Source: FAO
http://www.World-Grain.com
World Grain - January 2025
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - January 2025
World Grain - January 2025 - Intro
World Grain - January 2025 - 1
World Grain - January 2025 - 2
World Grain - January 2025 - 3
World Grain - January 2025 - 4
World Grain - January 2025 - 5
World Grain - January 2025 - 6
World Grain - January 2025 - 7
World Grain - January 2025 - 8
World Grain - January 2025 - 9
World Grain - January 2025 - 10
World Grain - January 2025 - 11
World Grain - January 2025 - 12
World Grain - January 2025 - 13
World Grain - January 2025 - 14
World Grain - January 2025 - 15
World Grain - January 2025 - 16
World Grain - January 2025 - 17
World Grain - January 2025 - 18
World Grain - January 2025 - 19
World Grain - January 2025 - 20
World Grain - January 2025 - 21
World Grain - January 2025 - 22
World Grain - January 2025 - 23
World Grain - January 2025 - 24
World Grain - January 2025 - 25
World Grain - January 2025 - 26
World Grain - January 2025 - 27
World Grain - January 2025 - 28
World Grain - January 2025 - 29
World Grain - January 2025 - 30
World Grain - January 2025 - 31
World Grain - January 2025 - 32
World Grain - January 2025 - 33
World Grain - January 2025 - 34
World Grain - January 2025 - 35
World Grain - January 2025 - 36
World Grain - January 2025 - 37
World Grain - January 2025 - 38
World Grain - January 2025 - 39
World Grain - January 2025 - 40
World Grain - January 2025 - 41
World Grain - January 2025 - 42
World Grain - January 2025 - 43
World Grain - January 2025 - 44
World Grain - January 2025 - 45
World Grain - January 2025 - 46
World Grain - January 2025 - 47
World Grain - January 2025 - 48
World Grain - January 2025 - 49
World Grain - January 2025 - 50
World Grain - January 2025 - 51
World Grain - January 2025 - 52
World Grain - January 2025 - 53
World Grain - January 2025 - 54
World Grain - January 2025 - 55
World Grain - January 2025 - 56
World Grain - January 2025 - 57
World Grain - January 2025 - 58
World Grain - January 2025 - 59
World Grain - January 2025 - 60
World Grain - January 2025 - 61
World Grain - January 2025 - 62
World Grain - January 2025 - 63
World Grain - January 2025 - 64
World Grain - January 2025 - 65
World Grain - January 2025 - 66
World Grain - January 2025 - 67
World Grain - January 2025 - 68
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/wg_2025_02_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-january-2025
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-december-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-november-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-october-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-september-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-august-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-july-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-june-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-may-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-april-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-march-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-february-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-january-2024
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-december-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-november-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-october-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-september-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-august-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-july-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-june-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-may-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-april-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-march-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-february-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-january-2023
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-december-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-november-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-october-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-september-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-august-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-july-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-june-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-may-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-april-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-march-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-february-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-january-2022
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-december-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/-world-grain-november-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-october-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-september-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-august-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-july-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-june-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-may-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-april-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-march-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/world-grain-february-2021
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2021_01_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_12_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_11_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_10_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_09_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_08_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_07_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_06_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_05_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_04_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_03_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_02_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2020_01_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_12_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_11_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_10_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_09_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_08_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_07_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_06_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_05_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_04_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_03_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_02_01
https://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2019_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2018_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2018_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2018_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2017_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2016_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2015_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2015_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2014_12_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2014_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2013_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2012_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_12_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_11_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/20111_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_07_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_06_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/wg/2011_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2011_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2010_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2009_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_02
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_02
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_08_01
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com